Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 2.192295 2.514551 2.870360 3.292791 3.781230 4.328939 4.990665
2025-06-08 1.710514 2.144328 2.669715 3.354847 4.227734 5.306665 6.747662
2025-06-15 1.431519 1.905097 2.515577 3.364210 4.519831 6.047781 8.236486
2025-06-22 1.212098 1.692351 2.343331 3.296352 4.666470 6.580872 9.486334
2025-06-29 1.056753 1.537492 2.217923 3.259706 4.829776 7.132011 10.808235
2025-07-06 0.926016 1.397011 2.089562 3.192851 4.926902 7.581650 12.018849
2025-07-13 0.880024 1.374101 2.127427 3.373931 5.413555 8.668529 14.354784
2025-07-20 0.802233 1.291555 2.062138 3.381203 5.618995 9.326407 16.067456
2025-07-27 0.755889 1.252908 2.060106 3.487455 5.994473 10.300442 18.438984
2025-08-03 0.696263 1.185176 2.001905 3.489796 6.188005 10.979333 20.366423
2025-08-10 0.640000 1.116828 1.934667 3.466880 6.330380 11.577841 22.214943
2025-08-17 0.584347 1.043635 1.851051 3.403945 6.389359 12.024961 23.823053
2025-08-24 0.547390 1.005018 1.833537 3.477854 6.748234 13.146339 27.073017
2025-08-31 0.511688 0.965836 1.812689 3.547396 7.117990 14.361084 30.765172
2025-09-07 0.473033 0.916127 1.765381 3.557139 7.365610 15.358740 34.152205
2025-09-14 0.429868 0.852524 1.683442 3.485186 7.431091 15.979900 36.797438
2025-09-21 0.395186 0.801922 1.621439 3.446326 7.560904 16.755850 39.929859
2025-09-28 0.361291 0.749158 1.548994 3.375435 7.608807 17.352546 42.729417
2025-10-05 0.354253 0.752004 1.593181 3.567457 8.283782 19.496211 49.773231
2025-10-12 0.332128 0.719856 1.558402 3.575169 8.524626 20.637215 54.424898
2025-10-19 0.320087 0.708592 1.568203 3.687858 9.035399 22.517421 61.405418
2025-10-26 0.300934 0.679222 1.533915 3.690341 9.270820 23.732328 66.760975
2025-11-02 0.281644 0.647540 1.490916 3.666036 9.434021 24.782211 71.838684